| Cold-Flipper said: There is always that chance that something different will happen but: N64 had a $50 price cut in March 97, a $20 cut in August 98, and a $30 cut in August 99. GC had a $50 price cut in May 2002 and another $50 cut in September 2003. Wii had a $50 price cut in September 2009 and another $50 cut in May 2011. Based on the above information, anything over $50 seems unlikely. Also, if Wii U doesn't get cut by September, there likely won't be one until 2014. It seems they favor May & September so either September 2013 or May 2014 seems most likely.
I personally believe that the sweet spot price is $150 for a HH & $250 for a console. The quicker Nintendo gets to that price the better. I would discontinue the basic and cut the deluxe to $250 in April 2014 but expect a $50 cut in May. Nintendo would be dumb to cut price this year because the focus will be on 3DS with Pokemon this Holiday and the biggest Wii U games will be released next year...although I wouldn't be surprised a bit if we do see a $50 cut in September. |
Heh, I knew someone would bring up Nintendo's price cut history. The thing is, all those consoles started out at lower prices than the Wii U and even the 3DS. They have less room to drop their prices by and as such they recieved lower cuts. Plus, a $50 cut on a $200 system is much more impactful than the same $50 cut would be on a $350 system. Even if/when the Wii U get's a $100 cut, it'll still be moar expensive than every other console they've released except for the Wii. Speaking of which, the Wii was the same price as 3DS at launch, but the Wii was doing amazingly while 3DS was doing badly, so it's first cut was average sized and years after launch, while the 3DS received a bigger cut and sooner than the Wii did. I'd say the Wii U is much more comparable to the 3DS than the Wii, so it's logical to assume it's price cut will resemble the 3DS's. The 3DS price cut was also the latest price cut Nintendo issued, so it makes sense to go by that one rather than ones for uber old systems.
Also, if Nintendo were really focusing on the 3DS alone this holiday, why would they bother releasing games like SM3DW and DKCTP?
