I think Sony's biggest challenge will be USA. The price difference of $100 will certainly help but I do think that's the key battleground between Sony/MS. So still too early to call for me.
I think Asia/Europe will be pretty much in Sony's hands, while the UK will probably be Sony but only just.
As for the Wii-u, I still know people who are holding out for Zelda etc. So i do expect sales to dramatically improve, but the longer they delay releasing these key titles the further it will fall back and become the "other console" you might have just for one or two games. This will *definitely* affect its long term sales and basically destroy 3rd party games on this console.
So i expect PS4 > XboxOne > Wii-U.








