Gran Turismo 6 Sales Prediction Thread

[Michael-5]

ethomaz said:

Michael-5 said:

Wow, you think GT6 will sell 70% of it's lifetime stock in 2 months? I have to say I disagree, GT6 will sell well because of strong legs, not because of people who are waiting in line for a mignight launch. Like a bunch of people are saying, GT5 is already on the PS3, so I don't think people will rush to get GT6 right away. However I do think most GT5 owners will pick up GT6 eventually.

It will be interesting to see if GT5 tops GT4, GT4 is still 1 million units ahead of the shipped figure for GT5, so GT5 is going to need to sell 10% more units post GT6 launch. Possible, so it will be interesting.

.....wanna make a bet on Forza 5 sales? You said when you bet you loose, and we're not betting on a franchise you care too much for. I'll bet you that Forza Motorsport 5 will sell over 3 million units by December 31st  2014, and while I can't bet you on this, I think FM5 will outsell FM4 (which is currently at 4 million, may go to 4.5 million) within its lifetime.

My favorite GT is 3. GT3 is kinda the racing game that got me into cars, before GT3 I didn't know much about cars, and I think GT1 and 2's car list largely reflected the Japanese sports car market, and not the global one. GT4 was good too, but it was more or less GT3 with everything upgraded. GT5 was awesome too, but after FM3, I was expecting more from GT5. GT6 might become my favorite now, PD doesn't have to put in as many fake Lambo's and Ferrari's anymore. Too bad about Porsche, damn you EA!!!

I meant GT6 will have some more weeks of sales than GT5 and the userbase is bigger... if GT5 did 5.2m in 2010 then I think GT6 will do over 6 million and close to 7 million in 2013.

I think Forza will sell over 3 million and less than 5 million... your 4.5 million fits so I can't bet againt on that.

But I can bet that DriveClub will outsell Forza 5 but I need to think a little because there are a free version of DriveClub... I almost forget that.

How do you know GT6 will release early November? According to wikipedia, a couple websites who started taking pre-orders originaly had a release date of November 28, 2013. If GT6 releases around the same time in the year as GT5 did, do you think GT6 will sell more then GT5 in the same timeframe (5 weeks)?

We can't really debate DriveClub because it's free when PS4 releases for PS Plus members. Wow PS Plus is really good compared to the free games XBLG members get.

Say DriveClub is free for PS+ members for 2013 for PS4, do you still think it could sell more retail copies then Forza 5?