Wii: Sony doubts longevity

[Bodhesatva]

Christopher_G2 said:

WiiGirl76 said:

FishyJoe said:
People said the same things about the DS.

You're so right and it is true?! Back then they said the DS would be a total disaster before it released, piece of crap, outdated, etc.etc. and look how far it got? Newsflash, high tech graphics doesn't sell games, so far Nintendo has very much proven that already with the DS.

Oh and I'm 30 owning a WII, what does that make me? An overgrown adult with a childish mind. Besides how bad is that ey?!

I think we should caution against the DS and Wii comparisons. For one Nintendo has owned the handheld market for nearly 20 years. And second the competition the Wii will have in the console market through 2008 and beyond will be far more fierce than the competition the PSP or anything else can give the DS. I'm just not convinced the Wii can pull a PS2 and sell amazing for 5 or 6 straight years but I know the DS will. I see the Wii selling amazing for it's first two years, than as the HD gaming market really starts to show itself the Wii will start gradually declining though the rest of the generation. The Wii is likely to be the best seller this generation, but it's not going to be as much as a runaway as some people think.

I do agree that the situations aren't perfectly analogous, and Nintendo's resilience in the portable market does not garauntee success in the console market.

However, the two aren't totally unrelated either. Suggesting that the two scenarios are completely the same isn't right; but I think it's equally foolish to suggest they're completely different. Keep in mind that detractors were mocking the DS for the precise reasons they mock the Wii now: inferior graphics, "gimmicky" controls. It's also important to note that the PSP stood its ground fairly well against the DS at first, but has fallen further and further behind over the last 18 months, as you can see here:

http://vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=DS&reg1=All&cons2=PSP&reg2=All&cons3=DS&reg3=All

I also want to caution, again, that I'm not exactly disagreeing with you. I don't think the Wii is going to own as much market share as the PS2 did, for example. I'm just stressing the few points in which I disagree here.