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I've been saying for a year now.

Both will be $449 to $499.

MS is at $499.
Sony *could* be $449 if the decide to take a bigger hit, but you have to remember their APU has a higher end GPU and their RAM costs A LOT more than the memory in XBone.

So, I'm picking $449 for competitive reasons, but it could be up to $499 as well.

This means Nintendo may or may not alter their pricing plans at all. I still think basic model is going dodo route and they'll drop to $299 though.