Slimebeast on 09 June 2013
Mr Khan said:
Government wins: Syria becomes more of a pariah state (on the level of Iran or North Korea), or, in a desire not to be such a pariah, Syria administers slow reforms in the fashion of Myanmar (reforms, but on the old regime's terms) Rebels win: Total sectarian warfare unless NATO intervenes. You'd either get Lebanon and 15 years of civil war, or NATO intervention which would turn the place into Iraq (democratic and stable enough to get by, but still with regular sectarian violence) |
But right now it is like Lebanon in its third year of civil war.
It's not purely sectarian and the conflict didn't start sectarian, but neither was the case in Lebanon. But it's best described as mainly a sectarian civil war now.
