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I can see them releasing 3D Mario in October to coincide with a $50 price cut, and then the release of Mario Kart 8 in November or early December.

And the releases of Pikmin 3, NSL U, The Wonderful 101, Game & Wario, Wii Fit U and Wind Waker HD between now and October combined with Nintendo actually advertising the thing for once will regain some of the sales momentum that the Wii U had during its successful launch.

And then you've got Bayonetta 2, Retro's new title, X, Wii Sports U and whatever surprises they announce at this year's E3 all released between New Years Day and E3 to keep sales momentum going.

The Wii U isn't going to have any problems selling. I'm more concerned about the sales of the PS4 and One tbh. I can see both of those retailing for over $400, my guesstimate would be $449.99 or $499.99 meaning that the Basic model of the Wii U (assuming that price cut) is going to be at least $200 cheaper. You've then got to take into account that both the PS4 and One are going to be supply constrained at launch and have their own inevitable software droughts next year.