Until this thread, I actually hadn't really seen many people thinking Wii-U couldn't recover. At least "recover" in the sense of finding a baseline higher than 23k a week.
My concern with the issue is that recovery for Wii-U is going to be much slower than 3DS and as a result it might never reach those kind of sales levels due to the stigma that goes with selling poorly for such a long time.
It's now 6 months after Wii-U launched. 3DS already had its emergency price cut by now, and due to it being sold at a profit anyway it was a substantial price cut. Wii-U doesn't have that luxury. I'm also unsure it'll have the one-two punch of 3D Mario & Mario Kart that 3DS had, unless Nintendo are really pushing development of those two titles forward over everything else. From what games we know are definitely coming in 2013 so far, I wouldn't say any of them would have the impact which those titles had on 3DS.
So all in all, I've never doubted that Wii-U will swing it back, but I've always thought it's going to take a much longer time to do it than 3DS, which is why I don't think 3DS is a particularly good precedent to follow. But perhaps I'm wrong.
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