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S.T.A.G.E. said:

Even casuals go to Gamestop and best buy and buy used games.

True, but I don't see them playing regularly enough to care about not being able to play their games at their friends' houses.

Also, they would likely be the type to also get their content directly online if that's what was offered to them and not need/require a physical copy. Examples of this type of content are streaming videos and other types of consumable media.