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Oh wow, I have a terrible prediction fanclub.

Well....I......... *runs away*

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BTW I did write a f*** lot back in the day. I'm still bad at predictions (I think Wii U will do very well.....after this, now I'm scared about being wrong), but I think I've learnt that I know less and less then I realize.

I joined VGC in what February 2010? This is one of my earliest predictions, and definatly a post from when I was more ignorant, and knew little about where VGC numbers come from and how games sell. I mean I would never use attach rates as an arguement nowadays, I think I know a lot more now. I thought Halo: Reach would do better, and GT5 did open poorly, I had no clue it would gain the legs it did, legs no other PS3 franchise has mananeged to obtain. Plus I made the prediction using VGC sales figures, which untill last week had GT5 at 8.5 million.

Still, these are excuses, my only defence was that I was a newbie at the time. I was the ignorant one. Good Find, I hope I don't sound like as much of a p****-face anymore.

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Man GT5 smashes that attach rate arguement. 10.66 million shipped (will get sold) on a system which will likely sell 90 million units lifetime. That's about a what 13% attach rate? New record for a GT game.

Anyway, this is picture proof why attach rate arguements fail.....

except Mario Kart for consoles does always sell about a 3rd as many units as system available (MK Wii - 31/100 ~ 31%, MK DD - 7/21 ~ 33%, MK 64 - 10/32 ~30%)



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