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I don't think 4K will "fail", it will eventually just become so cheap that it'll be adopted into budget and low budget sets.

But it's not going to be anything like the SD to HD switch, where the difference was massively obvious and people had to have it.

I think most "average joes" are simply not going to care about 4K.

4K as a resolution really is a weird sticking point for a TV anyway. It's noticable in a PC monitor because you're sitting close to the screen and it's good for movies that are projected onto a 50 foot screen ... but on normal sized "large" LCD sitting at a normal 6-10 feet away from the screen, the impact of the image really isn't all that great.

It's better sure, but it's not like "OHMYGAWDTHISISSOMUCHBETTER!" type thing, lol.

I gotta be honest from my viewing experience, if you didn't tell me that TV I was watching was a 4K set, I never probably would've known. It just looked like a pretty nice 1080p set from the demo I watched.