So now that PS3 overtaking 360 is a matter of weeks, how long until it reaches Wii?

[archbrix]

pezus said:

archbrix said:
My guess (which is all any of us can do) is that it won't. The PS3 won't have the legs the PS2 did, as it wasn't able to achieve that dominant position in the market. This means that the 360 will remain a somewhat viable alternative for consumers looking to adopt late for a "budget" console.

I have no doubt the PS3 will remain on the market for a while, but the sales will dwindle down too much for it to pass the Wii, IMO.

It doesn't need PS2s legs to surpass Wii. Very, very far from it. It will only need about 20-22m sales once PS4 is out, and PS2 did over 50m after PS3 launched (from a higher baseline).

It doesn't need PS2 legs, but I believe it'll need more than it'll be able to achieve.

The PS3 has three main things going for it in the coming years: Selling in more territories (developing markets) than the competition, blu-ray playback as a selling point, and the fact that the Wii's sales are largely irrelevant, save for slight holiday bumps.

We'll just have to see if that's enough to best Nintendo's console.