| CGI-Quality said: I crossed out what's irrelevant, especially since being "costly" means nothing to a thread like this. Now for your chart, we'll see. The PS2 sold quite well early on, despite the PS3's presence. Since the PS3 wil probably be the strongest seller at least through 2016, it has a good chance of selling PS1 numbers. |
My theory is that PS2 sold so well at the beginning of the PS3 is because the PS3 was too expensive and didn't had much software, the PS2 continue to had support during the first year of the PS3 on the market. If the PS3 were a success from the beginning the scenario would have been different. The PS2 start losing support when the PS3 pick up. (this is all without counting the emerging markets)
Now having said that I think it will be like this:
1) If the PS4 is a huge success from the beginning it means devs will be focusing on that console, and the PS3 will be for shovelware only (until it eventually dies). The PS3 will dry pretty quickly and thus not passing the Wii.
2) If the PS4 suffers in sales at the beginning it mean devs will still be focusing on the PS3 until the PS4 picks up. This will mean the PS3 will have (most likely) a whole year and half (heck maybe even more time) of complete support and thus more sales. In this case the PS3 will indeed pass the Wii.
Anyway those are my two cents.
Nintendo and PC gamer
