superchunk said:
It took PS3 an entire generation to potentially pass X360.
PS3 is being replaced THIS holiday.
PS3 has YOY major declines in sales even without the PS4 on the market.
PS3 has been a largely costly hardware for Sony.
PS3 will be retired in 2016 at the latest. (maybe 2015)
See chart... I'm also being very generous with the time after PS4 launches.
| Year |
Sales in Millions |
| 2007 (including 2006 launch) |
9.174 |
| 2008 |
10.204 (19.378) |
| 2009 |
12.997 (32.376) |
| 2010 |
13.896 (46.388) |
| 2011 |
14.706 (61.095) |
| 2012 |
12.734 (73.830) |
| 2013 (to date plus my projection) |
9.5m (83.3) Successor Shown and Launched! |
| 2014 |
7m (90) Game support stopped. |
| 2015 |
4m (94) |
| 2016 |
2.5m (97) Discontinued. |
| Projected Final |
About 97 million |
Now let's compare Wii.
Year
|
Sales in Millions
|
2007 (including 2006 launch)
|
19.508 |
2008
|
24.188 (43.696) |
2009
|
21.295 (64.991) |
2010
|
17.320 (82.096) Game support stopped |
2011
|
11.522 (93.428) Successor Shown! |
2012
|
5.246 (98.674) Successor Launched! |
2013 (to date plus my projection)
|
4 (103) |
2014
|
3 (107) Discontinued. |
Projected Final
|
About 107 million
|
|
It doesnt matter how long it took PS3 to reach 360 when we're comparing it to Wii. Wii isnt selling anymore. PS3 is to stay on the market for atleast another 4 years.
Nintendos projection is 2m Wiis in this FY, that means 101m shipped by april next year. Its basically dead, I wont be surprised if it gets discontinued next year.
