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superchunk said:

Vita should have been a smartphone.

I've been saying it would flop before it was even launched for this very reason.

There is no market for this device. Only the Nintendo will ever be potentially successful in the portable game only device market due to its extensive IPs and focus on lower priced hardware.

Vita will not surge due to PS4 connectivity unless its dropped to a $99 device and/or packed in with PS4. Even then its just turned into an accessory.

Originally I bet 2013 would be its final year, but with PS4 connectivity, Sony will try through 2014 meaning I revise my earlier death to happen in 2015 when it has less than 20m sold.

PSP did well as they quickly got it sub $200 and they had games like MH exclusive. Sony has no exclusive big portable titles and PS4 connectivity won't drive demand otherwise the gamepad would be all WiiU needed. Obviously that's not working out well without string content.

There is no way it will EVER sell 40m.

Right...