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mutantclown on 10 May 2013
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superchunk said:
mutantclown said:
superchunk said:
Nope.

They needed the year start as this holiday will be hard pressed for game buyer's as it is with two new consoles coming out. If Wii U delayed it would probably have fared worse. This way some bought it and will buy one of the other consoles this holiday as well to complement each other.

Now, Nintendo will have a year on market... be more than 2x the userbase of either its competitors (by the end of the holiday season), have far larger library, worked its launch kinks out, and potentially be ready for its first price cut or at least massive bundling options.

Nintendo made the smart choice by launching when it did, even with the software woes and OS limitations.

I seriously doubt the bolded, specially the latter. And if that's including current-gen games (also available on PS3, 360) they don't count for much.

By Jan2014 the other two will both be around 3m each. WiiU should be between 8m and 10m... I personally think closer to 10m.

If you only want to count "next-gen" games... well ok. All three will have the same multiplats with the exception of EA games, yet by your definition none of them would count as they are all going to also be on current gen machines. So really it just leaves first party  and/or exclusives. MSony will only have 3-4 at best of those types of games. WiiU already has more than that (NL, NSBMU, ZombiU, LEGOCity, MH3U, Wario) and has another 4-6 launching by end of this year (Pikmin3, ZeldaWWHD, MarioKart or Mario3D or both, W101, ?Bayonetta2, ?X, ?Smash). Wii U will clearly have a far larger library... and I'm not even including the eShop titles.

There are (next-gen) multiplatform games that will release this year that won't be available on the current-gen. You overstimate the number of Nintendo games releasing this year for Wii U. And you do well in not including eShop titles because if I were to include PSN games only the indie games releasing for PS4 would leave your list in the dust. I seriously doubt Nintendo Wii U will reach 8 million consoles sold by the end of the year. Expect PS4 and Xbox 720 to sell over 4 million (if they release in ALL major regions, of course).