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If the 3DS sold less than the DS, that wouldn't be such a terrible thing. Mobile games have made a huge dent in the traditional handheld gaming market. It's pretty tough to convince people to sink the money on a 3DS and pay $40 for games when their iPhone is an all-in-one device that has thousands of games for $1 (or even free). If the 3DS sold 90 million lifetime, I would consider that a huge accomplishment.

On the other hand, 30 million lifetime sales for the Wii U would be quite meager. It would have to maintain its current sales trends worldwide and not manage to pick up much momentum from price drops/game launches. It would actually be quite a feat given the success of the Wii.