There is one other possibility for these low numbers of the Wii. And it is more or less like what happenned to the DS, but just the opposite in nature. While Ioi is doing a good job in setting up his analysis, the fact remains it is based on only 10% of the American retail. Normally, for like Sony PS3 sales, with plenty of stock to go around to all retailers, the predictions can be reasonable. But consider with the DS or now the Wii. If the 10% during a period are getting a lot more of the product, or a lot less, then your predictions will vary by a lot as well.
Say that Walmart is running a big ad for the week. Free advertising for Nintendo. They give Walmart 30,000 more than usual. (about what 10 more per store or so?). That 30k came from someone else, so say, Gamestop that is among the 10% being monitored has shipments of only 10k instead of 40k. All a sudden, the analysis, good tho it is if Gamestop had received its usual amount, show sales dropping 75%.
Is this what has happenned? Who knows. But if sales jump up significantly next week, that will be a good indication that Gamestop received its 'normal' 40k for the week.
Torturing the numbers. Hear them scream.
