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Nintendo basically has 8 months to reach the Wii U target because it looks like April-July is basically a write off, so they're wasting an entire quarter + a month.

Presumably in August with Pikmin 3 and perhaps a price cut is where hardware will begin to move, but I don't see the upcoming quarter being much better for Nintendo than this last one was (390k shipped is nothing).

They probably will ship maybe 400k from April-July.