The Nintendo stockpiling myth, and why it is wrong.

[thetonestarr]

NJ5 said:

Just_Ben said:

NJ5 said:

OK, let me kill this thread quickly. From the horse's mouth:

http://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/library/events/080125qa/index.html

Q: You said that you would be able to make 1.8 million "Wii" hardware systems per month, but you did ship 7 million during the 3rd quarter (October-December 2007). Did you ship the difference of 1.5 to 1.6 million by air?

A: We manufactured and retained some amount of hardware for the Thanksgiving and Christmas holiday season, and we also air shipped some units that were originally slated for delivery in January.

 

Did I say no stockpling for Christmas last year? I said not to the extend people believed. So you proved me right :)

Heres the quote:

"The christmas stockpiling myth: They just don't did it last year, at least not to that extend people believe it."

And they said some on both, not saying how much of each. How do you explain the low sales in Jan? Maybe they had 200k stockpiled and the rest was flew in? Hell people are talking about the 1.7 Million to explain and said they where stockpiled. And I and other where called "crazy" because we said they where mostly from Jan.

 

The quote says both things. I never denied that they flew in some Wiis last year, in fact I have believed so for some time now. My point is that they did both things, stockpiling included, and the quote I posted proves it without any doubt.

Regarding your calculations, I'd just like to point out one thing - you assumed that all of January's first two weeks of supply were shipped by plane for December, which can't be the case since shipments weren't null for those two weeks. Therefore, you're overestimating the number of flown units, and you're underestimating the number of stockpiled units.

For this month's situation and SSBB's launch, I guess we'll have to wait and see, not enough information is available yet.

 

 Quite true, quite true.

 

It's pretty ignorant and foolish to argue a point that you can't prove, especially when reality just might turn around and prove you entirely wrong in a couple weeks.