Who knows what numbers will upgrade to next gen... .it's all speculation, I don't know... but what I can say is that gamers like that are the early adopters... I am speaking from my own personal opinion here... but why would i want a glorious open world game like GTA5 running on 6/7 year old tech, when i can have it on a PS4/Nextbox. As it will be based on the PC version, it will look much better than the other version.
Have you played the PS3 version of GTA4... it's not that good looking a game, have you played the PC version... it looks much much better. Why would i want to play an open world game that looks not great. I certainly don't and would buy a next gen console to do that... these are the consoles biggest franchises outside of COD.. do you not think they will have an impact? Surprising.
I'm not saying *ONE* thing will make a difference, I am saying this is *another* reason for people to upgrade. New hardware, 1st party franchise games, new services, new controller, new IP, established massive franchises. It all adds up to something people feel excited about. Nintendo have failed to excite people with pretty much anything they have done so far with the wii-u. The launch announcements were poor (its just a controller), E3 was a disaster (Lets finish off with a fireworks display)... and key 1st party Franchises are no where to be seen. They havent hit any of the right notes.
As the wii-u has not exploded sales wise, I expect even if the Next gen consoles dont set the tills alight to begin with, will increase bigger over time than the wii-u. If you really think they will never catch the wii-u, I'm afraid you are very blinkered..
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