| Slimebeast said: So if the Wii U is selling around 40-45K per week with a poor launch lineup and we compare that with the sales back in spring 2007 when the PS3 sales were tanking at 65-80K per week (also on a poor launch lineup), we can arrive at a conclusion - the PS3 sales were 50% higher than the Wii U. If we project that number to potential yearly and lifetime sales, it suggests that the Wii U never will see yearly sales above 10 million or lifetime sales above 50 million (if lifetime is 6-7 years). And this projection even demands that the Wii U pulls off an equal turnaround in sales that the PS3 managed to do, which I personally don't think it will. |
Agreed.
Nintendo also tends to burnout on first party software very fast, and then focus on the next handheld. Massive Wii drought in second half of life, and DS drought (but filled by third parties).
I think it'll be replaced in five years at most, optimistic upper bound of 35m lifetime.







