Final-Fan said:
senseinobaka said:
I think this week will prove even more interesting for the Wii vs PS3 war.
PS3 will get a huge bump from the HD-DVD death(Finally) and all the interest generated by GDC
Wii on the other hand will get a bump from actual shipments and all the interest generated by GDC
I think we will get huge numbers, like 150,000- 200,000 each. And perhaps the PS3 will edge out the Wii. That would be historical. Worst case, Wii gets no shipments and PS3 runs away with a huge uncontested number.
Unfortunately for MS, it's looking that it's going to finish a distant 3rd by the end of the generation. Wii remains a beast in all markets, except maybe the hardest of core, and PS3 has become the HD console of choice in Japan and Europe, and now it looks like America. This ofcourse is MS' fault. They have way too many Arcades and legendary packs in the supply chain and not enough of the SKUs people want.
In 2006 I predicted a close 33% split between all 3 makers with Wii favored to win, but now it's looking more like 45/35/20 with Wii ahead FTW and 360 behind FTL. |
Even if PS3 wins WW by a large margin (which I believe it will, putting a "maybe" on the "large") America will still be a hard-fought struggle. I would be very surprised if PS3 does more than tie 360 lifetime sales in the USA.
Also, I don't think that the effect of Blu-ray's victory will be that dramatic. It might add up to an awful lot over time but no huge bumps (beyond possible short spikes at key announcements like just happened). |
I agree with you Final Fan. But if PS3 does tie 360 in America that puts it in 2nd place WW by a fairly large margin (I'm going to stick by my +15% prediction until more info is available).
Also, the Blu Ray victory isnt going to win the console war, but I do think we may see a pretty good bump this week, atleast one that is strong enough to compete with a typical NA Wii week (100k+). I also think the Blu-ray victory could cause PS3 demand to grow slightly on a weekly basis for the life of the generation.
