Will the stacked PS3 / 360 4th quarter hurt Next Gen console sales?

[Shinobi-san]

BenVTrigger said:

Train wreck said:

The average consumer doesnt come in an buy a brand new console on its release date.  The majority of early buyers are going to be those who are very core, natural early adaptors and scalpers hoping to cash in on resell (on a worldwide basis).  Both the new xbox and new playstation will be supplied constrained, even at whatever price they launch at (especially if its under $500).  Better versions of previous gen games is more icing on the cake that will work in their favor (something that fell flat on the Wii U's launch)

Early adopters / scalpers only make a difference generally in the first 3 months of sales

I cant help but think there going to be some on this forum utterly shocked at sales come 6 months in

I think only the fanboys are gonna be shocked at the low sales of the next gen consoles come end of year.

Talking about the PS4 specifically, i think its gonna be a hard sell. Theres no gimmick, no easy to show off, flashy feature that you can really show off in a store setup.

720 might actually have the advantage here depending on the adavancements of Kinect. Whats your take on it?

And yeah to make things worse the games are all the same...(apart from some exclusives which never did sell well for Sony atleast). Maybe im being a bit negative here but i think thats the reality of the situation unfortunately.