Square Enix detail where their losses are coming from

[theRepublic]

outlawauron said:

benao87 said:

outlawauron said:
Some more bad reporting.

None of these things happened.

"For reference, Sleeping Dogs has moved 1.75 million copies, Hitman Absolution 3.6 million and Tomb Raider 3.4 million."

That was their official expectations for the titles based off the metric they provided in the report. All it takes is some reading to look at their official reports and see that those are what those numbers are for. They shipped far less than that.

No, this time they clarify the thing, check this: http://www.hd.square-enix.com/eng/news/pdf/explanatory_20130326en.pdf

They do not say what's the exact prediction, but the part where he says "Let’s talk about Sleeping Dogs: we were looking at selling roughly 2~2.5 million units in the EUR/NA market based on its game content, genre and Metacritic scores. In the same way, game quality and Metacritic scores led us to believe that Hitman had potential to sell 4.5~5 million units and 5~6 million units for Tomb Raider in EUR/NA and Japanese markets combined." it's taken literally form that report.

So if he states that they are not telling the exact prediction, I'm going that those other numbers are the actual sales rather than the predictions.

So, what Faxandu says pretty much nails it.

On page 5 of 12, zoom in on the picture/graph. It clearly labels the expect sales of the games for FY '13. That's where the numbers 1.75, 3.6, and 3.4 came from. They got those numbers using the formula they provided.

I don't think that is right.  Tomb Raider would need to be at least 4 million in the chart for that to be true.  It doesn't make sense for it to be lower than Hitman either given the expected range for both games.  Looking at it another way, 3.4 is only 68% of 5, or 57% of 6, which doesn't match up with the percentages in the text.

It seems to me like those numbers in the chart are the estimated number of games sold to retailers by the end of FY13, which ended March 31st.

More likely is that range given already had the 80-90% baked in.  For example, 5.5 x 0.8 = 4.4 and 5.5 x 0.9 = 4.95.  That is pretty close to the 4.5 to 5 range that is given for Hitman.  The chart is basically showing how badly each title missed its prediction.  Otherwise that chart isn't really telling us anything.

Of course, the whole thing is worded pretty badly, so I could be wrong.