Playstation 2 consoles broke very easily. I know my friends had to buy at least two in their lifetime and only because we live in Irvine were they able to take the console to get fixed for free at the Sony plant (which is not in San Diego) or they would have had to buy more than the two.
Nintendo probably has a chance, but that chance is very, very small. I seem this console making it to one-hundred million units sold, but not much more than that. I think the system might have hit the prime too early... But who really knows?
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