Just no... Firstly the range of 15-40m is just silly, they represent completely different levels of success.
The minority (hardcore gamer), who will pick up a wii U+ Ps4 probably in that order if a price cut happens (or just a wii u for hardcore ninty fans), will see the system to 20m units no problem. I'm someone who loves to hate on the Wii U because the hardware is completely underwhelming (specs+the control), I will however definitely be getting the system the minute we've got a next gen line up of 3D mario, Mario kart, smash bros, Zelda, Metroid etc. Also have no doubt that zelda, mario and Metroid will have next gen level visuals and that in itself will make them a huge draw over what their counter parts did on the wii (metroid especially).
Price Cut... The amount of times I've heard people say nintendo can't afford a price cut... Their bank reserves are deeper then any of us can imagine. When they make billions on 1 software title, on a system they had been selling at a profit from day 1 (wii)...believe me they can afford do a really drastic price cut on the wii U. Just as they did the 3DS. The reason why they have yet to implement one is because they have zero games to promote it with. A price cut at this point would just be throwing away money for a few thausand sales in each region.
Mario Kart- When mario kart arrives, so will a decent portion of consoles gamers and parents buying consoles for their kids, along with other initiatives the wii U will likely reach 40-50m







