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ioi said:
Well I mentioned in a few previous threads that the methodology for calculating winnings was still work in progress and that I was looking for a better system, there was quite a lengthy discussion about the pros and cons of different methods. My intention was always to "change" the system since it hadn't been set in stone and I was taking my time to try different systems and see which would work best.

What I don't understand is why you don't take the difference in prediction accuracy to average accuracy of all the users to calculate loss or gain.  This would prevent the lucky person who manages to land say an 80% accuracy against the whole average of like 30%.  Sure, people won't loss as much money and they won't win as much money, but it all meshes with how it's all calculated.