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It's clearly not happening, under no normal circumstances would Activision be happy to lose 20m sales

The only scenarios would be for Sony and M$ to pay Activision literally $1bn or Activision to do something nice....

By something nice, if I were Activision I would be concerned about the sales of all the new platforms. Activision stand to lose out big time if tablet gaming continues to rise against console gaming. Maybe they want to give the new platforms a lift?

Basically, I severely doubt it. The realistic case is that next gen platforms have some exclusive content of some sort, but there will definitely be CoD games on PS4 and PS3 as well as everything else