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Conegamer said:

My apologies, my maths was off. 

So people are throwing $150 million, which is probably right. The game is $70, so SE gets $30 per game roughly. That's still 5 million needed and that's a lot on a system with no install base, but even then $30 is probably too high if FFXIII failed to make money.

AGHHHHHHHH. I'm sick of hearing this!

Releasing a game on a newly launched console doesn't stop people from buying the game in the future. Look at Metal Gear Solid 4 on the PS3, Final Fantasy X on PS2 and so on, both early launching games that went on to become some of the best selling games on the system. In fact, sequels that release nearer the end of a console generation can often end up doing worse.

Also, that $150 million figure sounds like bullshit, they haven't had a full team working on the game for the past 7 years, and they sure as hell aren't being paid to twiddle their thumbs. With all the delays and changes, I wouldn't be surprised if it's a hefty sum, but $150 million is pushing it. Even if that is the worst case scenario, 5 million units sounds possible if the PS4 is a reasonable success and Square Enix really push the game and rebrand it as Final Fantasy XV. Final Fantasy XIII was quite poorly recieved by fans and it still managed to sell 5 million on a 3rd place console as a multiplatform title.

And even then, making it multiplatform can't guarantee significantly more sales and profit, especially if Sony is giving them incentives.