There is a first year "lull" that has affect all consoles with the exception of the Wii. Considering what happening with the US handling the economy and Europe one creeping to improvement I think the first year lull for each of new console will be like the Wii U right now, then what the 360 or the PS3 had.
The initial adopters will buy it in swarms the first two months but once January hits the sales will free fall to near flat-line levels. This isn't because they are not the best things out there it just that the economics of market has seriously changed and the older systems with the bigger libraries getting a lot of the same games are going to be the better buy for anyone outside of each system core market.
Even there is problems with the core market with only 29% intending to buy "no matter what". These are the one who are saving for the system now and will have the money. The rest as an indication of what is being said are going to wait for price cuts and some of the cuts required would probably be serious for companies who are in an economic slump.
Sales gimicks could help like the mobile type plans but need to be embraced by the retail segment, and currently there are not real rumors on anyone but Microsoft trying to expand its program and it would be a kind of a tougher sell for Sony and more so Nintendo to do, who base internet service is free.
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