Japan needs 8M. It has 22M sold, out of a population of 125M, this means that almost 1/5 people in Japan have bought a DS, and some surely share it.
Well, 8M. Last year, it sold 7.3M, and it seems to slow down, so 6M for this year, and then it breaks 30M during golden week.
USA
Needs 9M more sales. DS sold almost 10 last year (9.9) and seems to be selling as fast, perhaps faster, so I say it should make it within 09.
Europe(others):
Needs 6M only.
Roughly math by me, says it sold 12M last year. I think it might even sell 15M. This one will definately make it within the holiday seasons begin.
Others might get 40 M before Japan gets 30. The week Japan breaks 30, WW has already broken 100M.
http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261
That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS