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Sony Bend is pretty much Sony's top developer for handheld games. They made Uncharted: Golden Abyss, so their next game is potentially another Uncharted. Killzone has potential, but probably gets lost in the hype for the upcoming Shadowfall on PS4. Tearaway is just weird and weird doesn't sell systems. After last year's AC and CoD, why would you have high hopes for new installments? Killzone is scheduled for September, until then the Vita has nothing big in the West. Whether Vita gets its price cut in spring or fall won't make much of a difference, because the Vita has virtually no games in spring/summer. There's just no reason to believe that a Vita price cut will do much in the West, especially because those people who wanted a Vita for $/€200 already had more than enough time to get one. The announcement of PS4/PSV functionality is basically Sony's way of telling you that you shouldn't expect much Vita support in the future. Actually, the Wii U's competition isn't as fierce as the Vita's, so that's another point that speaks against the Vita. On one hand you have two home consoles that will go through launch troubles while on the other hand you have a mature platform that is receiving its Pokémon game. I don't expect the Wii U to do gangbusters, but it won't have to in order to beat the Vita. Can the Wii U sell more than 6-7m units in 2013? I believe so, because it isn't a high bar. |
The Wii U sold 8k units this week which is 3x less than the PS3 and 6x less than the current 360 and thats really the problem that the Wii U faces. It is and will continue to be lumped with current gen consoles. So even with mildly stronger titles in the second half of the year and a price cut (which I dont think will even happen) they will be competeting against the PS360's best line up and their respective price cut. 3rd parties will most likely make the games in line with the PS360 since the Wii U version will sell the least, which is a negative for the system, couple that with next gen games and systems and you have a receipe for the Wii U finding an identity. Nintendo's core of first party games will help drive sales but when you are coming from a base this low, I dont see how one can look at very lofty numbers. So the competition is a fierce.
Why shouldn't the vita version of COD and Assassin's creed continue? By the time the fall rolls around, they both will be pushing 1 million units. Creamsugar from neogaf indicated during the last NPD that the COD bundle represents ~40% of all vita's sold. That would be more than enough incentive for Activision to continue, especially when consoles like the Wii continue to receive COD even as their userbase grew and sales of the actual games declined. Ubisoft's CEO went out of his way to mention decent AssCred sales on the Vita and that digital distrubtion was viable (which represents more money for the publisher). There is already rumors of a AssCred game coming not named 4, no system mentioned but people are point to vita
http://www.ign.com/articles/2013/03/08/what-is-assassins-creed-rising-phoenix
