Obviously this is only a guess knowing nothing about nextbox and with WiiU not hitting its main games and not knowing the price of 2 of the systems, but I believe so. It's only logical. They can only go up from this gen if you think about it. They launched a year late compared to MS (competing for the same market), were overshadowed by Wii at launch, were severely undercut (half price) by their competitors, had a difficult architecture resulting in many first partys being delayed and third parties being inferior, and hardly had online to speak of at the beginning of the gen.
Fast forward to this gen. They've got a nice easy architecture that packs a punch. They're launching near nextbox if not before. They're probably going to be close in price ($50 or even $100 wouldn't be as severe as last time). Their first parties are ready (many haven't made a game for 2+ years and 2 big ones will likely be there at launch). They have quite the online suite from what they've shown along with the world's best cloud company under their wing (can help with more than just streaming with their infrastructure and expertise in online distribution).
These factors should not be counted as always separate either. Once everyone heard the price of PS3 and Xbox was out with your friend already having it, what were you going to buy? It's amazing that PS3 will be second (if not first) this gen given that it effectively gave no reason for anyone to buy one until holiday 07 (Uncharted and R&C) and no system selling exclusives until 08 (MGS4). If they have superior specs to MS or are the same price because of super Kinect then that's just icing on the cake. If MS couldn't win this gen, I don't see how they could logically win ANY gen unless they were given a $300 advantage and/or a 2 year head start.
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