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thismeintiel on 06 March 2013
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scottie said:
pezus said:
scottie said:
lol, no. Not going to happen. The PS3 is 23 million units behind a (slowly) moving target. The PS4 has already been announced, and it's not long (~7 months, barring delays) until marketing starts for it.

The PS3 doesn't have the install base to justify annual releases of sports games etc that the PS2 got.

They are wrong by the way with the "Wii sales dropped because it can't play dvds. That is rubbish. Wii sales dropped when games stopped releasing. The ability to play dvds or blu rays will not extend the PS3's life - it needs new games to avoid sales plummeting. It will have a good year this year, but Sony has moved most of its effort to Vita or PS4, and 3rd parties are shifting to the next gen too.

The PS3 will get decent sales from here, but not close to the 25 M+ it needs to outsell the Wii.

Bold: Yes it does...In fact, annual releases sell far more on PS3 than they ever did on PS2 (compare CoD, FIFA etc...)

Actually, PS3 won't need a lot of new games to keep selling, since it will be relying on emerging markets. So the games will be new to them.


CoD is a deliberately misleading example because the franchise is much bigger now, it does not imply that the PS3 is better at selling CoD games than the PS2. CoD sells a lot more on all platforms in recent years, not just on the PS3. CoD is a bigger franchise now.

 

As for Fifa - the best selling PS3 version of Fifa sold 1.5x what the best selling PS2 version did, the best selling 360 version sold 4.5x what the best xbox one did. The best selling Wii version sold 5.5x as much as the best selling GC one. Fifa is a bigger franchise now, and it's has moved away from the playstation family towards the xbox family and Nintendo.

 

So we want annual games that have sold much better on PS3 than PS2, but have not seen a corresponding increase from xbox-360. These games just don't exist. Look at madden, the top in sales are 1-6 = PS2, 7-9 = 360, 10=PS2, 11-13 = 360, 14-16 = PS3. Madden was huge on the PS2, and is now big on the 360.

 

Winning Eleven was another franchise that kept the PS2 afloat, sales dropped about 50% from PS2 to PS3, and yet increased by 100% from xbox to 360, and Wii got some reasonable sales where the GC had none.

 

Madden is now going to be helping the 360, not the PS3

 

Fifa helped the PS2, now it will help the PS3, but to nowhere near the same extent, and it will help the 360 too.

 

Winning Eleven helped the PS2, now it will help the PS3, but to nowhere near the same extent, and it will help the 360 too.

CoD will help both the PS360, whereas before it helped only PS2.

Guitar Hero helped the PS2, now it will help no-one.

 

The PS3 does not have any franchise that will help it the way that Guitar Hero, Madden, Fifa and Winning Eleven helped the PS2.

 

lol at the emerging markets point.

What a misleading post.  You honestly think MS is going to push the 360 as hard as Sony will push the PS3 in those markets?  Hell no.  Not only does MS not have the same size shipping network as Sony does, but MS is going to abandon the 360 after a year or two after the NeXbox's launch.  They are going to be focusing full force on the an uphill battle against the PS4. 

Your numbers are also quite misleading, as it's not hard to see why the PS3 has the smallest increase in Fifa when the PS2's competition didn't even make it past 25M units.  Or why an American Football game will sell more on the system that has a larger install base in America.  Of course, in a few years, it won't be in America where the sales will be coming from.  The PS3 sells the most copies of Fifa and Winning Eleven, and in the areas where the sales are going to matter most in the coming years.