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Not this year, Vita has some interesting stuff coming out, but even with a price cut I can't imagine it doing better because it doesn't have any games that will even compare to when pokemon hits.

Next year it could match it at most, but that requires a lot of things to happen. I think next year won't be as good for the 3ds, unless the Wii U utterly fails enough that Nintendo returns full focus on it. Also, Vita would have to have a lot of system sellers coming for it, another Uncharted and Assassins Creed, a good COD, God of War, GT, GTA. I don't think there is any chance it will beat it next year either though.

Maybe it could beat it in 2015.