| ethomaz said: The point is the shipped sales <> VGC sales. VGC shows PS3 32% down in 2012 but it is wrong because all the sources shows ~15% drop and not 30%... 360 is undertracked too... Nintendo chartz, GFK, NPD, etc showed that. In fact I think because the wrong sales posted by VGC last year... this year sales was undertracked too... even in US the first NPD showed a huge mistake in VGC data. The drop YoY is a lot less than what VGC shows today. |
Even if the drop is at 15% now, it's likely to be much larger overall in the year. GOW Ascension and LOU will give a nice boost, but the holiday season will be much weaker with at least one new console, possibly 2, and a likely stronger Wii U sales.
Regardless of how off the VGC numbers are, you're still predicting that the PS3 will sell an average of 138 K over 5 years. You're also predictiong another 34 million in sales, which is, if we go buy the 77 million figure, just about 44% of what the PS3 has sold to date. Those numbers are not likely.
