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ethomaz on 05 March 2013
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JWeinCom said:

Lets break that down into weekly sales which I find a bit easier to deal with.


FY2013- 230 K a week.  I don't think this is very likely, unless the PS4 has a very weak launch.

BTW according to VGChartz Data, the PS3 sold 11.2 million in 2012.  To date, the PS3 is 32% down YOY.  Why do you expect it to be so close 20 2012 sales whether we're talking about FY or just plain old Jan-December years.

FY2014-  193,207 k a week-  With the X-Box 720, PS4 on the market, the Wii U picking up, and a presumable shortage of content, I don't see this happening.  A big price drop will help, but 10 million is really a high number,

Again keep in mind the peak of the PS3 was like 14 million.  So you expect that in 2014 the PS3s sales will be about 70% of its peak?  Don't think so.


FY 2015- 134k per week.  This is still insanely high.  This is about what the 3DS and PS3 are doing right now.  Of course, you could argue that holiday boosts affect things, but the holiday boost for PS3 in 2015 is not going to be as noticeable as the bumbs PS3 and 3DS will get this year.

FY 2016- 96K  You still have PS3 sales at about 96K per weak.

FY 2017- 38K per week.  These numbers are pretty high for a console that's going to be by that point 4 years out of date.


You're predicting 138 k weekly sales for 5 years.  THIS WEEK the PS3 didn't even sell 138 K.  No, this is not plausible in my mind.

The point is the shipped sales <> VGC sales.

VGC shows PS3 32% down in 2012 but it is wrong because all the sources shows ~15% drop and not 30%... 360 is undertracked too... Nintendo chartz, GFK, NPD, etc showed that.

In fact I think because the wrong sales posted by VGC last year... this year sales was undertracked too... even in US the first NPD showed a huge mistake in VGC data.

The drop YoY is a lot less than what VGC shows today.