I dont think Sony would pay that much for Gears at this point but would MS pay anything to keep it exclusive? Word is MS has like 4 new IP's in the works for 720. Granted they might be like 3 kinect 2.0 games and another generic FPS, but they will have new franchises next gen.
With Gears J low preorders MS might see it a series on the decline and not care about losing it as and exclusive. I dont think it made that big a deal for Sony to lose FF13 since most people with both consoles still purchased it on PS as sort of a legacy title. Gears will always be associated with the xbox and MS but at the begining of a gen it might be important since most people will have to choose a system and wont have both.
I would buy a 1080p upscaled Gears trilogy on PS4 if it came out. For the the record I thought Gears 1 and 2 were overrated but Gears 3 is one of my top 5 games this gen. The gameplay and graphics jump from 2 to 3 was huge IMO and is an awesome epic game with lots of MP options and staying power.








