I see +3M for the PS3 but at best. +2M seems more safe.
About NA sales,
I think the importance of BR will increase over the time and will play in the favor of the PS3 (except if MS go BR too) because more and more people will begin to buy HD TV and try to upagrade their DVD player.
People buy the same console than their friend, it is true BUT the PS3 has a strong brandname and starts to have a decent userbase in NA (3-4M?). I mean , seriously, WHO doesn't know about the existence of the PS3 ???
Also note the media bashing about the PS3 has stopped.
The Xbox360 is cheaper but in the same time is a bit older. People that wanted to buy it could have done it before. I m sure a price drop(50 or 100$) will help a lot MS but I m sure a similar price drop would help even better the PS3 since her price is still very high. But this part (the price : the most important part) is very hard to predict since we dont know how MS/Sony will handle it.
I can see MS win the GTA4 battle but I think they will lose the end of the year (40gb at 300$) ...
Time to Work !
