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None of those scenarios will happen.

1. PS4 will definetly release in NA in 2013, not sure about EU

2. PS4 will not cost 599, they've learned their lessons

3. online play is likely to stay free, however it will be like a Spotify subscription, almost everything and everything quality will be behind a sub.

4. GT6 will not release this year, maybe GT6 Prologue.