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The Wii U doesn't have the same driving force which is what sold the original Wii. People who didn't play games bought the system in droves. These people who purchased the system and within a week were done aren't going to go out and buy a Wii U. The only people who are going to purchase a Wii U are going to be either gamers or those that are now gamers because of the Wii.

However, the Wii U has competition from consoles that aren't the PS4 and Next Box. As Sony has done before with the PSX and PS2, they will drop the price of the PS3 after the PS4 launches and continue selling that console. Microsoft had no choice but to abandon the original Xbox, but if they were to do the same, there would be two cheaper consoles that the Wii U would also have to contend with.

Just think about it. Exclusives are a thing of the past. Do you think that while the PS360 are still selling that developers won't release Wii U games multiconsole? The PS4 and Next Box are coming out yet Watch Dogs, Diablo 3, and Destiny are going to be on the PS360 as well. When games for PS4 and Next Box are unable to be put on the PS360, those will be the only consoles they're on, but PS360/Wii U games are still going to be released multiconsole for awhile. I'd assume multiconsole releases will keep coming until they stop making a profit from them.

So gamers will have a choice. If you're a Nintendo fan, you might purchase a Wii U. If you have no loyalty and you don't own any of the consoles, you have a PS360 to choose from with an already massive library, or a Wii U for $100 more, maybe $50 if they drop the price as well. Against people who own a PS360 already, the PS4 might only be $399 and let's assume the 360 is the same. It's a much more powerful console of a system they already have for $50-100 more, and maybe $100-150 if the Wii U price drops by that time. It's not going to take very long where the new HD twins are going to share multiconsole titles and the same thing that happened with the Wii happens to the Wii U only because it's less powerful.

However, the Wii U won't sell like crap. The Wii U will still atleast sell to most gamers because the PS4 and Next Box are once again going to be the same system. Like the Wii before it, the Wii U will be many gamers secondary console. The Wii U just won't succeed like the Wii did as it doesn't have that casual audience to get the sales.

I think that it will be the PS4 or Next Box that takes the lead this gen and Wii U is in third place this time around.