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DieAppleDie said:
Pezus, do you really expect PS4 to outsell PS4, i dont, not a chance
I think the industry as a whole will fall like 25% or more
Nintendo will suffer the biggest drop, the only one that has chance of growth is Msoft, but is highly unlikely

Well the Wii U is currently 44% down from the Wii over a similar time frame.  Over 80% on a weekly basis.  At the moment, the current generation has sold 246 million consoles.  Down 25% would be about 61.5 million.  So if the Wii U sells 37.4 million or less, then it would be responsible for the entirety of that drop.  Of course those numbers will change as the PS3/360 keep selling while the Wii tapers off, which would bring that number lower.  So while it might not be responsible for all of it, if there is a 25% drop, then the Wii U will probably be responsible for a majority of it.