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BW2 will have no effect. MP3 could have a decent sales effect if the controls turn out great and it gets hardcore shooter fans to notice the system. However Mario Galaxy and Smash Brawl are the real system sellers. Both holiday releases supposedly, I don't see a shot of the system not having huge shortages comes November and December. Probably the Wii could sell 3 million systems in December just in the US, but I don't see how at this rate that Nintendo will ship more than 2 million for that period.