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I think The Last of Us is massively overtracked and God of War; Ascension is massively undertracked. Vgchartz's estimates bear no correlation to online sales charts from every big retailer, Amazon, Gametop, Walmart etc. And contrary to popular game forum dwellers beliefs The Last of Us hasn't got much hype in the real world so I don't have a clue why the pre-orders are so randomly huge for the past few weeks.

http://www.google.com/trends/explore#q=The%20Last%20of%20Us%2C%20God%20of%20War&date=today%2012-m&cmpt=q (past 12 months)

I'd guess GoW:A being around 325-350k now adding 25-30k last week and TLoU at 100-110K now adding 8-13k last week. I'll stick to my own estimations and instincts over Vgchartz's but we'll see when official/NPD figures surface.

I wonder if the Gears of War: Judgment boost is accurate, I've been down on the game in the past because I was hugely disappointed with Gears 3 but now I'm willing to give it a chance... when it hits the bargain bin. If it's a return to form I hope it does well.