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We shall see. I agree with many that HD media (not HD in general) adoption will be slow (the American economy is slowing). If you look at past console sales for the previous two generations you'll see that the trend they set in the first year (and second year for PS2) continues on until the end of the that systems life. PS3 will continue to sell how well it has been selling. Blu-Ray will not help PS3 in the same way DVD helped PS2. Because it's not nearly as important a jump.