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ArmGunar said:

Even for The Last of Us, I think the game will reach "only" 500-600k first week (250-300k in NA and 250-300k in Europe) even if I hope it'll do much better.

Let's see. Here are some fairly pessimistic estimates for TLoU in the coming weeks

Pre-orders in US NOW: 160k
Pre-orders in US at Launch: 250k - 350k (assuming it averages 7-15k pre-orders per week, which is a very modest estimate)
Pre-orders in NA at launch: 300k - 400k (a modest increase for other NA territories)
First Week Sales in NA: 400k - 500k (actual sales are always considerably higher than total pre-orders)

So yeah, your 250-300k estimate is looking low.

Assuming VGChartz data is correct of course.