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I have a feeling TloU is being overtracked and GoW:A is being undertracked. Reasons, TloU is doing nowhere near as well as GoW:A in every bestsellers list I've been looking at and what caused the pre-orders to randomly pick up so much?! And the reason I think GoW:A is undertracked is because, as mentioned, it's been doing amazingly in the charts and that new live action trailer + 30min demo generated a lot of hype and gained a lot of attention. The TLoU demo that comes with GoW:A also got a lot of peoples attention, a good amount of people are now going to get the game they otherwise maybe wouldn't have.

And finally in the past all the God of War games were MASSIVELY undertracked on Vgchartz (although eventually they were all adjusted adequately but GoW3 was accidentally reset after a week but has yet to be corrected), it is very highly possible that the same is happening again for God of War: Ascension so don't be surprised when NPD or Sony announce sales figures and they're much higher than Vgchartz estimates.