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atma998 said:
thismeintiel said:

You do realize that Nintendo didn't revise their projected shipments for the DS for the FY, right?  That means they only expect to ship 150K in Q1 2013.  That's a 67% drop YOY.  For the full year of 2012, they also only shipped 2.61M, a 60% drop from the previous year.  If that happens again this year, it would end the year with 1.04M, for a total of 154.71M.  That is still 390K short of the where the PS2 sat in March 2012.  Another 60% drop in 2014 would be 420K shipped for the year, or 155.13M total.  That just passes the PS2 March 2012 number, and ~2M+ short of where the PS2 sits now.  In other words, it ain't happening.

You bring some good points here. The thing is we said the exact same thing with the PS2 3 years ago and it sold some extra millions in the emerging markets until 2012. The same will probably happens with the DS. If the PS2 had a 12 years lifespan (including 6 years after its successor was released), I don't see how the DS cannot at least have a 10 years old lifespan and sell at least 3 or 4 years after it successor is released. And these are some low projections.

The DS is not being sold in nearly the same amount of territories as the PS2 was.  And the DS will not be on the market after 2014.  Not only because the decline in sales will make it pointless to keep it on the market, but also because Nintendo is not going to be supporting 4 consoles at once for that long.  That's just not their style.