My Bet with TheBigFatJ about end of the year marketshare for PS3

[Bodhesatva]

tombi123 said:
does my sig predictions agree with you?

Just barely -- you have the PS3 at 25.3% marketshare. Your total assumes:

1) The PS3 will sell 14 million consoles this year. It sold 7-8 million last year.

2) The PS3 sells nearly 6 million more consoles this year than the 360 does. It sold less consoles than the 360 last year.

I think we can agree those are very generous totals, but your Wii total is also fairly optimistic too. I think the most likely scenario where BigFatJ loses is the one Munkeh describes -- where Wii sells a bit less than many expect and PS3 sells a bit more. Something like this:

PS3: 21 million
360: 23 million
Wii: 40 million

Seems like a much more likely scenario. To me, at least.